Publikationen Regionales Klima

Alle wissenschaftlichen Publikationen des Wegener Centers im Forschungsportal

2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018

2024

Peer-reviewed publications

Galmarini, S., E. Solazzo, R. Ferrise, A. K. Srivastava, M. Ahmed, S. Asseng, A. J. Cannon, F. Dentener, G. De Sanctis, T. Gaiser, Y. Gao, S. Gayler, J. M. Gutierrez, G. Hoogenboom, M. Iturbide, M. Jury, S. Lange, H. Loukos, D. Maraun, M. Moriondo, S. McGinnis, C. Nendel, G. Padovan, A. Riccio, D. Ripoche, C. O. Stockle, I. Supit, S. Thao, G. Trombi, M. Vrac, T. K. D. Weber, and C. Zhao
Assessing the impact on crop modelling of multi- and uni-variate climate model bias adjustments
Agricultural Systems, 215, 103846, 2024
10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103846

Molina, M. O., J. M. Careto, C. Gutiérrez, E. Sánchez, K. Goergen, S. Sobolowski, E. Coppola, E. Pichelli, N. Ban, D. Belus̆ić, C. Short, C. Caillaud, A. Dobler, Ø. Hodnebrog, S. Kartsios, G. Lenderink, H. De Vries, O. Göktürk, J. Milovac, H. Feldmann, H. Truhetz, M. E. Demory, K. Warrach-Sagi, K. Keuler, M. Adinolfi, M. Raffa, M. Tölle, K. Sieck, S. Bastin, and P. M. M. Soares
The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble
Clim Dyn, 62, 4697–4715, 2024
10.1007/s00382-024-07257-4

Ossó, A., I. Bladé, A. Karpechko, C. Li, D. Maraun, O. Romppainen-Martius, L. Shaffrey, A. Voigt, T. Woollings, and G. Zappa
Advancing Our Understanding of Eddy-driven Jet Stream Responses to Climate Change – A Roadmap
Curr Clim Change Rep, 11, 2, 2024
10.1007/s40641-024-00199-3

Ossó, A., and F. Ennemoser
CMIP6 Models Overestimate the North Atlantic Eddy-Driven Jet Persistence
ESS Open Archive, 2024
10.22541/essoar.171352067.76564790/v1

Ossó, A. C., and L. Roither
Kipppunkte im Klimasystem
in Klimawandel - Einflussfaktoren und Ausprägungen, Climate Change Centre Austria (CCCA), Vienna, Austria, 2, 2024
https://ccca.ac.at/fileadmin/00_DokumenteHauptmenue/02_Klimawissen/FactSheets/47_kipppunkte_klimasystem_202401.pdf

Ossó, A., and F. Ennemoser
Persistent Summer North Atlantic Jet Variability: Dynamical Feedbacks and Model‐Observation Discrepancies
Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL109788, 2024
10.1029/2024GL109788

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., L. V. Alexander, A. D. King, S. F. Kew, S. Y. Philip, C. Barnes, D. Maraun, R. F. Stuart-Smith, A. Jézéquel, E. Bevacqua, S. Burgess, E. Fischer, G. C. Hegerl, J. Kimutai, G. Koren, K. A. Lawal, S.-K. Min, M. New, R. C. Odoulami, C. M. Patricola, I. Pinto, A. Ribes, T. A. Shaw, W. Thiery, B. Trewin, R. Vautard, M. Wehner, and J. Zscheischler
Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts
Front. Clim., 6, 1455023, 2024
10.3389/fclim.2024.1455023

Ritzhaupt, N., and D. Maraun
State-of-the-art climate models reduce dominant dynamical uncertainty in projections of extreme precipitation
Environ. Res.: Climate, 3, 021001, 2024
10.1088/2752-5295/ad2eb2

Schaffer, A., T. Lichtenegger, H. Truhetz, A. Ossó, O. Martínez‐Alvarado, and D. Maraun
Drivers of Cold Frontal Hourly Extreme Precipitation: A Climatological Study Over Europe
Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL111025, 2024
10.1029/2024GL111025

Sillmann, J., T. H. Raupach, K. L. Findell, M. Donat, L. M. Alves, L. Alexander, L. Borchert, P. B. De Amorim, C. Buontempo, E. M. Fischer, C. L. Franzke, B. Guan, M. Haasnoot, E. Hawkins, D. Jacob, R. Mahon, D. Maraun, M. A. Morrison, B. Poschlod, A. C. Ruane, Shampa, T. Stephenson, N. Van Der Wel, Z. Wang, X. Zhang, and J. Županić
Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
Front. Clim., 6, 1499765, 2024
10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765

Soares, P. M. M., J. A. M. Careto, R. M. Cardoso, K. Goergen, E. Katragkou, S. Sobolowski, E. Coppola, N. Ban, D. Belušić, S. Berthou, C. Caillaud, A. Dobler, Ø. Hodnebrog, S. Kartsios, G. Lenderink, T. Lorenz, J. Milovac, H. Feldmann, E. Pichelli, H. Truhetz, M. E. Demory, H. de Vries, K. Warrach-Sagi, K. Keuler, M. Raffa, M. Tölle, K. Sieck, and S. Bastin
The added value of km-scale simulations to describe temperature over complex orography: the CORDEX FPS-Convection multi-model ensemble runs over the Alps
Clim Dyn, 62, 4491–4514, 2024
10.1007/s00382-022-06593-7

Selected Further Publications and Reports

Lehmann, L. S., P. Velasquez, A. C. Ossó, and C. Schär
Scaling of Precipitation in the Alps: Insights from a Convection Permitting Regional Climate Model Ensemble
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU24-19523, Vienna, Austria, 2024
10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19523

Lichtenegger, T., A. Schaffer, D. Maraun, A. C. Ossó, and H. Truhetz
A Cold Frontal Life Cycle Climatology and Front-Cyclone Relationships over the North Atlantic and Europe during Winter
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU24-17127, Vienna, Austria, 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17127

Maraun, D., R. Schiemann, A. C. Ossó, and M. W. Jury
Changes in land-atmosphere coupling may amplify increases in very rare temperature extremes
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU24-15334, Vienna, Austria, 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-15334

Mishra, A. N., D. Maraun, R. Schiemann, K. Hodges, and G. Zappa
Changes in land-atmosphere coupling may amplify increases in very rare temperature extremes
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU24-19896, Vienna, Austria, 2024
10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19896

Ossó, A. C., and F. Ennemoser
CMIP6 models overestimate the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet persistence
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU24-9806, Vienna, Austria, 2024
10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9806

Russo, E., B. Geyer, R. Petrik, K. Keuler, M. Adinolfi, H. Feldmann, K. Goergen, A. Kerkweg, P. Khain, P. Ludwig, M. Mertens, P. Pothapakula, M. Raffa, B. Rockel, J.-P. Schulz, M. Sulis, H. Ho-Hagemann, H. Truhetz, L. Uzan, U. Voggenberger, and C. Steger
CLM Community WG EVAL, COordinated PArameter Testing project 2 (COPAT2): COSMO-CLM 6.0 clm1 recommended model configuration
COSMO Technical Reports, DWD, Offenbach, Germany, 51, 2024
https://www.cosmo-model.org/content/model/cosmo/techReports/docs/techReport51.pdf

Schaffer, A., T. Lichtenegger, D. Maraun, H. Truhetz, and A. C. Ossó
Drivers of Cold Frontal Hourly Extreme Precipitation: A Climatological Study
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU24-16634, Vienna, Austria, 2024
10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16634

Sobolowski, S., S. Somot, J. Fernandez, G. Evin, S. Brands, D. Maraun, S. Kotlarski, M. W. Jury, R. E. Benestad, C. Teichmann, O. B. Christensen, K. Bülow, E. Buonomo, E. Katragkou, C. Steger, S. L. Sørland, G. Nikulin, C. F. McSweeney, A. Dobler, T. Palmer, R. Wilcke, J. Boé, L. Brunner, A. Ribes, S. Qasmi, P. Nabat, F. Sevault, and T. Oudar
GCM Selection & Ensemble Design: Best Practices and Recommendations from the EURO-CORDEX Community
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vienna, Austria, 2024
10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1884

2023

Peer-reviewed publications

Belušić Vozila, A., D. Belušić, M. Telišman Prtenjak, I. Güttler, S. Bastin, E. Brisson, M.-E. Demory, A. Dobler, H. Feldmann, Ø. Hodnebrog, S. Kartsios, K. Keuler, T. Lorenz, J. Milovac, E. Pichelli, M. Raffa, P. M. M. Soares, M. H. Tölle, H. Truhetz, H. de Vries, and K. Warrach-Sagi
Evaluation of the near-surface wind field over the Adriatic region: local wind characteristics in the convection-permitting model ensemble
Clim Dyn, 2023
10.1007/s00382-023-06703-z

García-Portela, L., and D. Maraun
Overstating the effects of anthropogenic climate change? A critical assessment of attribution methods in climate science
Euro Jnl Phil Sci, 13, 17, 2023
10.1007/s13194-023-00516-x

Kaitna, R., D. Prenner, M. Switanek, D. Maraun, M. Stoffel, and M. Hrachowitz
Changes of hydro-meteorological trigger conditions for debris flows in a future alpine climate
Science of The Total Environment, 872, 162227, 2023
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162227

Knevels, R., H. Petschko, H. Proske, P. Leopold, A. N. Mishra, D. Maraun, and A. Brenning
Assessing uncertainties in landslide susceptibility predictions in a changing environment (Styrian Basin, Austria)
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 205–229, 2023
10.5194/nhess-2023-205-2023

Manning, C., M. Widmann, D. Maraun, A. F. Van Loon, and E. Bevacqua
Large spread in the representation of compound long-duration dry and hot spells over Europe in CMIP5
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 309–329, 2023
10.5194/wcd-4-309-2023

Maraun, D., and M. Jury
Der Klimawandel und Naturgefahren im Alpenraum
Zeitschrift für Wildbach-, Lawinen-, Erosions- und Steinschlagschutz, 86, 2022
https://www.wlv-austria.at/journal/aktuelle-journale/59-2022-heft-190

Mishra, A. N., D. Maraun, R. Knevels, H. Truhetz, A. Brenning, and H. Proske
Climate change amplified the 2009 extreme landslide event in Austria
Climatic Change, 176, 124, 2023
10.1007/s10584-023-03593-2

Ossó, A., P. Craig, and R. P. Allan
An assessment of CMIP6 climate signals and biases in temperature, precipitation and soil moisture over Europe
Intl Journal of Climatology, 43, 5698–5719, 2023
10.1002/joc.8169

Ritzhaupt, N., and D. Maraun
Consistency of Seasonal Mean and Extreme Precipitation Projections Over Europe Across a Range of Climate Model Ensembles
JGR Atmospheres, 128, 2023
10.1029/2022JD037845

Truhetz, H., and A. N. Mishra
Soil moisture precipitation feedbacks in the Eastern European Alpine region in convection‐permitting climate simulations
Int J Climatol, 43, 6763–6782, 2023
10.1002/joc.8234

Yang, Y., D. Maraun, A. Ossó, and J. Tang
Increased spatial extent and likelihood of compound long-duration dry and hot events in China, 1961–2014
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 693–709, 2023
10.5194/nhess-23-693-2023

Yessimbet, K., T. G. Shepherd, A. C. Ossó, and A. K. Steiner
Pathways of Influence between Northern Hemisphere Blocking and Stratospheric Polar Vortex Variability
Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2022GL100895, 2022
10.1029/2022GL100895

Selected Further Publications and Reports

Hummel, S., P. Assinger, C. Bauer, T. Brudermann, A. Jany, M. Jury, R. Rauter, and M. van Poppel
Shaping Tomorrow Today – SDGs from multiple perspectives
ISBN 978-3-658-38318-3, Springer VS, Wiesbaden, Germany, 2023
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-38319-0

Maraun, D.
The Challenge of Providing Information About Regional Climate Change
in Shaping Tomorrow Today – SDGs from multiple perspectives, 39, ISBN 978-3-658-38318-3, S. Hummel, P. Assinger, C. Bauer, T. Brudermann, A. Jany, M. W. Jury, R. Rauter, and M. van Poppel, Eds. Springer VS Wiesbaden, 2023
https://link.springer.com/book/9783658383206

Pedde, S., F. Doblas-Reyes, T. R. Carter, R. Haarsma, M. W. Jury, S. Burgess, R. Emerton, and V. Muccione
Chapter 2: Europe in times of change and extremes
in European climate risk assessment (EUCRA), ISBN 978-92-9480-627-7, European Environmental Agency (EEA), 58–82, 2023
https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/european-climate-risk-assessment

Ritzhaupt, N., S. P. Sobolowski, D. Maraun, and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study on Convection over Europe and the Mediterranean – ensemble
Applying a scaling approach for extreme precipitation to disentangle thermodynamic and dynamic contributions to CORDEX-FPS simulations
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vienna, Austria, 2023
10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12221

Schellander-Gorgas, T., N. Ban, K. Brugger, L. Brunner, M. Bügelmayer-Blaschek, M. Feichtinger, H. Formayer, A. Gobiet, M. Jury, F. Lehner, S. Lehner, D. Maraun, K. Perny, A. Prutsch, M. W. Rotach, M. Schwarz, M. Themessl, H. Truhetz, S. Tschannett, A. Voigt, and A. Wolf
„Klimaszenarien.AT“ - a strategy to new national climate scenarios in Austria
in EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts, Vol. 20, EMS2023-236, 2023, Bratislava, Slovakia, 2023
10.5194/ems2023-236

2022

Peer-reviewed publications

Cos, J., F. Doblas-Reyes, M. Jury, R. Marcos, P.-A. Bretonnière, and M. Samsó
The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 321–340, 2022
10.5194/esd-13-321-2022

Ha, M. T., S. Bastin, P. Drobinski, L. Fita, J. Polcher, O. Bock, M. Chiriaco, D. Belušić, C. Caillaud, A. Dobler, J. Fernandez, K. Goergen, Ø. Hodnebrog, S. Kartsios, E. Katragkou, A. Lavin-Gullon, T. Lorenz, J. Milovac, H.-J. Panitz, S. Sobolowski, H. Truhetz, K. Warrach-Sagi, and V. Wulfmeyer
Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation
Clim Dyn, 2022
10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6

Hofmann, M., C. Volosciuk, M. Dubrovský, D. Maraun, and H. R. Schultz
Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high-resolution, site-specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 911–934, 2022
10.5194/esd-13-911-2022

Manning, C., E. Bevacqua, M. Widmann, D. Maraun, and A. F. Van Loon
Large discrepancies in the representation of compound long-duration dry and hot spells over Europe in CMIP5
Weather Clim. Dynam. Discuss., 2022
10.5194/wcd-2022-15

Maraun, D., R. Knevels, A. N. Mishra, H. Truhetz, E. Bevacqua, H. Proske, G. Zappa, A. Brenning, H. Petschko, A. Schaffer, P. Leopold, and B. L. Puxley
A severe landslide event in the Alpine foreland under possible future climate and land-use changes
Commun Earth Environ, 3, 1–11, 2022
10.1038/s43247-022-00408-7

Ritzhaupt, N., and D. Maraun
Consistency of Seasonal Mean and Extreme Precipitation Projections Over Europe Across a Range of Climate Model Ensembles
JGR Atmospheres, 2022
10.1029/2022JD037845

Switanek, M., D. Maraun, and E. Bevacqua
Stochastic downscaling of gridded precipitation to spatially coherent subgrid precipitation fields using a transformed Gaussian model
Intl Journal of Climatology, 42, 6126–6147, 2022
10.1002/joc.7581

Selected Further Publications and Reports

Connors, S., M. Dionne, G. Hanak, R. Musulin, N. Aellen, M. Amjad, S. Bowen, D. R. Carrascal, E. Coppola, E. D. Moro, A. Dosio, S. H. Faria, T. Y. Gan, M. Gomis, J. M. Gutierrez, P. Hope, R. Kopp, S. Krakovska, K. Leitzell, D. Maraun, V. Masson-Delmotte, R. Matthews, T. Maycock, S. Paddam, G.-K. Plattner, A. Pui, M. Rahimi, R. Ranasinghe, J. Rogelj, A. C. Ruane, S. Szopa, A. Turner, R. Vautard, Y. Velichkova, A. Weigel, and X. Zhang
Climate Science: A Summary for Actuaries-What the IPCC Climate Change Report 2021 Means for the Actuarial Profession
International Actuarial Association (IAA), 2022
https://www.actuaries.org/IAA/Documents/Publications/Papers/Climate_Science_Summary_Actuaries.pdf

Connors, S., S. Berger, C. Pean, G. Bala, N. Caud, D. Chen, T. Edwards, S. Fuzzi, T. Y. Gan, M. Gomis, E. Hawkins, R. Jones, R. Kopp, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, D. Maraun, V. Masson-Delmotte, T. Maycock, A. Pirani, R. Ranasinghe, J. Rogelj, A. C. Ruane, S. Szopa, and P. Zhai
Climate Change 2021: Summary for All
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2022
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/outreach/IPCC_AR6_WGI_SummaryForAll.pdf

Maraun, D., R. Knevels, A. N. Mishra, H. Truhetz, E. Bevacqua, H. Proske, G. Zappa, A. Brenning, H. Petschko, A. Schaffer, P. Leopold, and B. L. Puxley
A severe landslide event in the Alpine foreland under possible future climate and land-use changes
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU22-7465, Vienna, Austria, 2022
10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7465

Mishra, A. N., D. Maraun, H. Truhetz, R. Knevels, E. Bevacqua, H. Proske, A. Brenning, and A. Schaffer
Attribution of 2009 extreme rainfall & landslide event in Austria
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU22-5845, Vienna, Austria, 2022
10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5845

Mishra, A. N., D. Maraun, H. Truhetz, R. Knevels, E. Bevacqua, H. Proske, A. Brenning, and A. Schaffer
Climate Change’s continued influence on the 2009 landslide event in southeast Austria
in Konferenzband, 109, online, 2022
https://www.dcna.at/files/tao/img/veranstaltungen/drd22/2022-11%20Konferenzband_DRD22.pdf

Mishra, A. N., D. Maraun, H. Truhetz, R. Knevels, E. Bevacqua, H. Proske, A. Brenning, and A. Schaffer
Storylines: A severe rainfall-landslide event in Past, Present & Future climate scenarios
in EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts, 19, EMS2022-313, Bonn, Germany, 2022
10.5194/ems2022-313

Ritzhaupt, N., and D. Maraun
Differences in the regional pattern of projected future changes in extreme precipitation over Europe are driven by the dynamic contribution
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU22-7209, online, 2022
10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7209

2021

Peer-reviewed publications

Ban, N., C. Caillaud, E. Coppola, E. Pichelli, S. Sobolowski, M. Adinolfi, B. Ahrens, A. Alias, I. Anders, S. Bastin, D. Belušić, S. Berthou, E. Brisson, R. M. Cardoso, S. C. Chan, O. B. Christensen, J. Fernández, L. Fita, T. Frisius, G. Gašparac, F. Giorgi, K. Goergen, J. E. Haugen, Ø. Hodnebrog, S. Kartsios, E. Katragkou, E. J. Kendon, K. Keuler, A. Lavin-Gullon, G. Lenderink, D. Leutwyler, T. Lorenz, D. Maraun, P. Mercogliano, J. Milovac, H.-J. Panitz, M. Raffa, A. R. Remedio, C. Schär, P. M. M. Soares, L. Srnec, B. M. Steensen, P. Stocchi, M. H. Tölle, H. Truhetz, J. Vergara-Temprado, H. de Vries, K. Warrach-Sagi, V. Wulfmeyer, and M. J. Zander
The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, part I: evaluation of precipitation
Clim Dyn, 57, 275–302, 2021
10.1007/s00382-021-05708-w

Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W. J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. C. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B. L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T. S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, and Z. Zuo
Linking Global to Regional Climate Change
in Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou, Eds. Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1363–1512, 2021
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter10.pdf

Gutiérrez, J. M., R. G. Jones, T. G. Narisma, L. M. Alves, M. Amjad, I. V. Gorodetskaya, M. Grose, N. A. B. Klutse, S. Krakovska, J. Li, D. Martínez-Castro, L. O. Mearns, S. H. Mernild, T. Ngo-Duc, B. van den Hurk, and J.-H. Yoon
Atlas
in Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou, Eds. Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1927–2058, 2021
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Atlas.pdf

Maraun, D., H. Truhetz, and A. Schaffer
Regional Climate Model Biases, Their Dependence on Synoptic Circulation Biases and the Potential for Bias Adjustment: A Process‐Oriented Evaluation of the Austrian Regional Climate Projections
Geophys Res Atmos, 126, 2021
10.1029/2020JD032824

Meredith, E. P., U. Ulbrich, H. W. Rust, and H. Truhetz
Present and future diurnal hourly precipitation in 0.11° EURO-CORDEX models and at convection-permitting resolution
Environ. Res. Commun., 3, 055002, 2021
10.1088/2515-7620/abf15e

Ossó, A., R. P. Allan, E. Hawkins, L. Shaffrey, and D. Maraun
Emerging new climate extremes over Europe
Clim Dyn, 2021
10.1007/s00382-021-05917-3

Pichelli, E., E. Coppola, S. Sobolowski, N. Ban, F. Giorgi, P. Stocchi, A. Alias, D. Belušić, S. Berthou, C. Caillaud, R. M. Cardoso, S. Chan, O. B. Christensen, A. Dobler, H. de Vries, K. Goergen, E. J. Kendon, K. Keuler, G. Lenderink, T. Lorenz, A. N. Mishra, H.-J. Panitz, C. Schär, P. M. M. Soares, H. Truhetz, and J. Vergara-Temprado
The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution part 2: historical and future simulations of precipitation
Clim Dyn, 56, 3581–3602, 2021
10.1007/s00382-021-05657-4

Ranasinghe, R., A. C. Ruane, R. Vautard, N. Arnell, E. Coppola, F. A. Cruz, S. Dessai, A. S. Islam, M. Rahimi, D. Ruiz Carrascal, J. Sillmann, M. B. Sylla, C. Tebaldi, W. Wang, and R. Zaaboul
Climate change information for regional impact and for risk assessment
in Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou, Eds. Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1767–1926, 2021
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter12.pdf

van der Schrier, G., R. P. Allan, A. Ossó, P. M. Sousa, H. Van de Vyver, B. Van Schaeybroeck, R. Coscarelli, A. A. Pasqua, O. Petrucci, M. Curley, M. Mietus, J. Filipiak, P. Štěpánek, P. Zahradníček, R. Brázdil, L. Řezníčková, E. J. M. van den Besselaar, R. Trigo, and E. Aguilar
The 1921 European drought: Impacts, reconstruction and drivers
Clim. Past Discuss., 2021
10.5194/cp-2021-41

Yessimbet, K., A. Ossó, R. Kaltenberger, L. Magnusson, and A. K. Steiner
Heavy Alpine snowfall in January 2019 connected to atmospheric blocking
Weather, 2021
10.1002/wea.4020

Selected Further Publications and Reports

Mishra, A. N., D. Maraun, H. Truhetz, R. Knevels, E. Bevacqua, H. Proske, A. Brenning, and A. Schaffer
Climate change’s influence on the 2009 extreme rainfall event : Past, Present and the Future
in AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts, A22D-05, online, 2021
https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm21/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/937033

Ritzhaupt, N., and D. Maraun
Robustness of projections of European precipitation for seasonal means and seasonal extremes
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU21-15105, online, 2021
10.5194/egusphere-egu21-15105

2020

Peer-reviewed publications

Bevacqua, E., M. I. Vousdoukas, G. Zappa, K. Hodges, T. G. Shepherd, D. Maraun, L. Mentaschi, and L. Feyen
More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change
Commun Earth Environ, 1, 47, 2020
10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z

Casanueva, A., S. Herrera, M. Iturbide, S. Lange, M. Jury, A. Dosio, D. Maraun, and J. M. Gutiérrez
Testing bias adjustment methods for regional climate change applications under observational uncertainty and resolution mismatch
Atmos Sci Lett, 21, 2020
10.1002/asl.978

Chimani, B., C. Matulla, J. Hiebl, T. Schellander-Gorgas, D. Maraun, T. Mendlik, J. Eitzinger, G. Kubu, and S. Thaler
Compilation of a guideline providing comprehensive information on freely available climate change data and facilitating their efficient retrieval
Climate Services, 19, 100179, 2020
10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100179

Coppola, E., S. Sobolowski, E. Pichelli, F. Raffaele, B. Ahrens, I. Anders, N. Ban, S. Bastin, M. Belda, D. Belusic, A. Caldas-Alvarez, R. M. Cardoso, S. Davolio, A. Dobler, J. Fernandez, L. Fita, Q. Fumiere, F. Giorgi, K. Goergen, I. Güttler, T. Halenka, D. Heinzeller, Ø. Hodnebrog, D. Jacob, S. Kartsios, E. Katragkou, E. Kendon, S. Khodayar, H. Kunstmann, S. Knist, A. Lavín-Gullón, P. Lind, T. Lorenz, D. Maraun, L. Marelle, E. van Meijgaard, J. Milovac, G. Myhre, H.-J. Panitz, M. Piazza, M. Raffa, T. Raub, B. Rockel, C. Schär, K. Sieck, P. M. M. Soares, S. Somot, L. Srnec, P. Stocchi, M. H. Tölle, H. Truhetz, R. Vautard, H. de Vries, and K. Warrach-Sagi
A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean
Clim Dyn, 55, 3–34, 2020
10.1007/s00382-018-4521-8

Jacob, D., C. Teichmann, S. Sobolowski, E. Katragkou, I. Anders, M. Belda, R. Benestad, F. Boberg, E. Buonomo, R. M. Cardoso, A. Casanueva, O. B. Christensen, J. H. Christensen, E. Coppola, L. De Cruz, E. L. Davin, A. Dobler, M. Domínguez, R. Fealy, J. Fernandez, M. A. Gaertner, M. García-Díez, F. Giorgi, A. Gobiet, K. Goergen, J. J. Gómez-Navarro, J. J. G. Alemán, C. Gutiérrez, J. M. Gutiérrez, I. Güttler, A. Haensler, T. Halenka, S. Jerez, P. Jiménez-Guerrero, R. G. Jones, K. Keuler, E. Kjellström, S. Knist, S. Kotlarski, D. Maraun, E. van Meijgaard, P. Mercogliano, J. P. Montávez, A. Navarra, G. Nikulin, N. de Noblet-Ducoudré, H.-J. Panitz, S. Pfeifer, M. Piazza, E. Pichelli, J.-P. Pietikäinen, A. F. Prein, S. Preuschmann, D. Rechid, B. Rockel, R. Romera, E. Sánchez, K. Sieck, P. M. M. Soares, S. Somot, L. Srnec, S. L. Sørland, P. Termonia, H. Truhetz, R. Vautard, K. Warrach-Sagi, and V. Wulfmeyer
Regional climate downscaling over Europe: perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX community
Reg Environ Change, 20, 51, 2020
10.1007/s10113-020-01606-9

Jury, M. W., T. Mendlik, S. Tani, H. Truhetz, D. Maraun, W. W. Immerzeel, and A. F. Lutz
Climate projections for glacier change modelling over the Himalayas
Int. J. Climatol., 40, 2020
10.1002/joc.6298

Knevels, R., H. Petschko, H. Proske, P. Leopold, D. Maraun, and A. Brenning
Event-Based Landslide Modeling in the Styrian Basin, Austria: Accounting for Time-Varying Rainfall and Land Cover
Geosciences, 10, 2020
10.3390/geosciences10060217

Knittel, N., M. W. Jury, B. Bednar-Friedl, G. Bachner, and A. K. Steiner
A global analysis of heat-related labour productivity losses under climate change—implications for Germany’s foreign trade
Climatic Change, 160, 251–269, 2020
10.1007/s10584-020-02661-1

Kulmer, V., M. Jury, S. Wong, and D. Kortschak
Global resource consumption effects of borderless climate change: EU’s indirect vulnerability
Environmental and Sustainability Indicators, 8, 100071, 2020
10.1016/j.indic.2020.100071

Merryfield, W. J., J. Baehr, L. Batté, E. J. Becker, A. H. Butler, C. A. S. Coelho, G. Danabasoglu, P. A. Dirmeyer, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, D. I. V. Domeisen, L. Ferranti, T. Ilynia, A. Kumar, W. A. Müller, M. Rixen, A. W. Robertson, D. M. Smith, Y. Takaya, M. Tuma, F. Vitart, C. J. White, M. S. Alvarez, C. Ardilouze, H. Attard, C. Baggett, M. A. Balmaseda, A. F. Beraki, P. S. Bhattacharjee, R. Bilbao, F. M. de Andrade, M. J. DeFlorio, L. B. Díaz, M. A. Ehsan, G. Fragkoulidis, S. Grainger, B. W. Green, M. C. Hell, J. M. Infanti, K. Isensee, T. Kataoka, B. P. Kirtman, N. P. Klingaman, J.-Y. Lee, K. Mayer, R. McKay, J. V. Mecking, D. E. Miller, N. Neddermann, C. H. Justin Ng, A. Ossó, K. Pankatz, S. Peatman, K. Pegion, J. Perlwitz, G. C. Recalde-Coronel, A. Reintges, C. Renkl, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Spring, C. Stan, Y. Q. Sun, C. R. Tozer, N. Vigaud, S. Woolnough, and S. Yeager
Current and Emerging Developments in Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction
BAMS, 101, E869–E896, 2020
10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.1

Ossó, A., R. Sutton, L. Shaffrey, and B. Dong
Development, Amplification, and Decay of Atlantic/European Summer Weather Patterns Linked to Spring North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures
J. Climate., 33, 5939–5951, 2020
10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0613.1

Zscheischler, J., O. Martius, S. Westra, E. Bevacqua, C. Raymond, R. M. Horton, B. van den Hurk, A. AghaKouchak, A. Jézéquel, M. D. Mahecha, D. Maraun, A. M. Ramos, N. N. Ridder, W. Thiery, and E. Vignotto
A typology of compound weather and climate events
Nat Rev Earth Environ, 1, 333–347, 2020
10.1038/s43017-020-0060-z

Selected further publications and reports of the Center

Casanueva, A., S. Herrera, M. Iturbide, S. Lange, M. W. Jury, A. Dosio, D. Maraun, and J. M. Gutiérrez
Exploring the role of observational uncertainty and resolution mismatch in the application of bias adjustment methods
in Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU2020-11561, online, Vienna, 2020
10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-11561

2019

Peer-reviewed publications

Bevacqua, E., D. Maraun, M. I. Vousdoukas, E. Voukouvalas, M. Vrac, L. Mentaschi, and M. Widmann
Higher probability of compound flooding from precipitation and storm surge in Europe under anthropogenic climate change
Science Advances, 5, eaaw5531, 2019
10.1126/sciadv.aaw5531

Gutiérrez, J. M., D. Maraun, R. Huth, E. Hertig, R. E. Benestad, O. Rössler, J. Wibig, R. Wilcke, S. Kotlarski, D. San Martin, S. Herrera, J. Bedia, A. Casanueva, R. Manzanas, M. Iturbide, M. Vrac, M. Dubrovský, J. Ribalaygua, J. Pórtoles, O. Räty, J. Räisänen, B. Hingray, D. Raynaud, M. J. Casado, P. Ramos, T. Zerenner, M. Turco, T. Bosshard, P. Štěpánek, J. Bartholy, R. Pongracz, D. E. Keller, A. M. Fischer, R. M. Cardoso, P. M. M. Soares, B. Czernecki, and C. Pagé
An intercomparison of a large ensemble of statistical downscaling methods over Europe: Results from the VALUE perfect predictor cross‐validation experiment
International Journal of Climatology, 39, 3750–3785, 2019
10.1002/joc.5462

Herrera, S., S. Kotlarski, P. M. M. Soares, R. M. Cardoso, A. Jaczewski, J. M. Gutiérrez, and D. Maraun
Uncertainty in gridded precipitation products: Influence of station density, interpolation method and grid resolution
International Journal of Climatology, 39, 3717–3729, 2019
10.1002/joc.5878

Hertig, E., D. Maraun, J. Bartholy, R. Pongracz, M. Vrac, I. Mares, J. M. Gutiérrez, J. Wibig, A. Casanueva, and P. M. M. Soares
Comparison of statistical downscaling methods with respect to extreme events over Europe: Validation results from the perfect predictor experiment of the COST Action VALUE
International Journal of Climatology, 39, 3846–3867, 2019
10.1002/joc.5469

Holtanová, E., T. Mendlik, J. Koláček, I. Horová, and J. Mikšovský
Similarities within a multi-model ensemble: functional data analysis framework
Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 735–747, 2019
10.5194/gmd-12-735-2019

Manning, C., M. Widmann, E. Bevacqua, A. F. Van Loon, D. Maraun, and M. Vrac
Increased probability of compound long-duration dry and hot events in Europe during summer (1950–2013)
Environmental Research Letters, 14, 094006, 2019
10.1088/1748-9326/ab23bf

Maraun, D.
Statistical Downscaling for Climate Science
in Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science, ISBN 978-0-19-022862-0, Oxford University Press, 2019

Maraun, D., R. Huth, J. M. Gutiérrez, D. San Martin, M. Dubrovský, A. Fischer, E. Hertig, P. M. M. Soares, J. Bartholy, R. Pongracz, M. Widmann, M. J. Casado, P. Ramos, and J. Bedia
The VALUE perfect predictor experiment: evaluation of temporal variability
International Journal of Climatology, 39, 3786–3818, 2019
10.1002/joc.5222

Maraun, D., and M. Widmann
Cross-validation of bias-corrected climate simulations is misleading
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 4867–4873, 2018
10.5194/hess-22-4867-2018

Piazza, M., A. F. Prein, H. Truhetz, and A. Csaki
On the sensitivity of precipitation in convection-permitting climate simulations in the Eastern Alpine region
Meteorol. Z., 28, 323–346, 2019
10.1127/metz/2019/0941

Rössler, O., A. M. Fischer, H. Huebener, D. Maraun, R. E. Benestad, P. Christodoulides, P. M. M. Soares, R. M. Cardoso, C. Pagé, H. Kanamaru, F. Kreienkamp, and D. Vlachogiannis
Challenges to link climate change data provision and user needs – perspective from the COST-action VALUE
International Journal of Climatology, 39, 3704–3716, 2019
10.1002/joc.5060

Schlager, C., G. Kirchengast, J. Fuchsberger, A. Kann, and H. Truhetz
A spatial evaluation of high-resolution wind fields from empirical and dynamical modeling in hilly and mountainous terrain
Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 1–26, 2018
10.5194/gmd-2018-238

Shepherd, T. G., E. Boyd, R. A. Calel, S. C. Chapman, S. Dessai, I. M. Dima-West, H. J. Fowler, R. James, D. Maraun, O. Martius, C. A. Senior, A. H. Sobel, D. A. Stainforth, S. F. B. Tett, K. E. Trenberth, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, N. W. Watkins, R. L. Wilby, and D. A. Zenghelis
Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change
Climatic Change, 151, 555–571, 2018
10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9

Soares, P. M. M., D. Maraun, S. Brands, M. W. Jury, J. M. Gutiérrez, D. San-Martín, E. Hertig, R. Huth, A. Belušić Vozila, R. M. Cardoso, S. Kotlarski, P. Drobinski, and A. Obermann-Hellhund
Process-based evaluation of the VALUE perfect predictor experiment of statistical downscaling methods
International Journal of Climatology, 39, 3868–3893, 2019
10.1002/joc.5911

Widmann, M., J. Bedia, J. M. Gutiérrez, T. Bosshard, E. Hertig, D. Maraun, M. J. Casado, P. Ramos, R. M. Cardoso, P. M. M. Soares, J. Ribalaygua, C. Pagé, A. M. Fischer, S. Herrera, and R. Huth
Validation of spatial variability in downscaling results from the VALUE perfect predictor experiment
International Journal of Climatology, 39, 3819–3845, 2019
10.1002/joc.6024

Selected further publications and reports

Chimani, B., C. Matulla, J. Eitzinger, J. Hiebl, M. Hofstätter, G. Kubu, D. Maraun, T. Mendlik, T. Schellander-Gorgas, and S. Thaler
GUIDELINE zur Nutzung der ÖKS15-Klimawandelsimulationen sowie der entsprechenden gegitterten Beobachtungsdatensätze
CCCA - Wissenstransfer, Wien, Österreich, STARC-Impact, 2018

Truhetz, H., C. Reszler, and M. B. Switanek
Floods in small and medium sized catchments in the Eastern Alps simulated by RCMs from the hydrostatic to the convection-permitting scale
in CLM-Assembly 2018 Conference proceedings, 72, Karlsruhe, Germany, 2019
10.5445/IR/1000090889

2018

Peer-reviewed publications

Coppola, E., S. Sobolowski, E. Pichelli, F. Raffaele, B. Ahrens, I. Anders, N. Ban, S. Bastin, M. Belda, D. Belusic, A. Caldas-Alvarez, R. M. Cardoso, S. Davolio, A. Dobler, J. Fernandez, L. Fita, Q. Fumiere, F. Giorgi, K. Goergen, I. Güttler, T. Halenka, D. Heinzeller, ø. Hodnebrog, D. Jacob, S. Kartsios, E. Katragkou, E. Kendon, S. Khodayar, H. Kunstmann, S. Knist, A. Lavín-Gullón, P. Lind, T. Lorenz, D. Maraun, L. Marelle, E. van Meijgaard, J. Milovac, G. Myhre, H.-J. Panitz, M. Piazza, M. Raffa, T. Raub, B. Rockel, C. Schär, K. Sieck, P. M. M. Soares, S. Somot, L. Srnec, P. Stocchi, M. H. Tölle, H. Truhetz, R. Vautard, H. de Vries, and K. Warrach-Sagi
A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean
Clim Dyn, 2018
10.1007/s00382-018-4521-8

Förster, K., F. Hanzer, E. Stoll, A. A. Scaife, C. MacLachlan, J. Schöber, M. Huttenlau, S. Achleitner, and U. Strasser
Retrospective forecasts of the upcoming winter season snow accumulation in the Inn headwaters (European Alps)
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 1157–1173, 2018
10.5194/hess-22-1157-2018

Gutiérrez, J. M., D. Maraun, R. Huth, E. Hertig, R. E. Benestad, O. Rössler, ... C. Pagé
An intercomparison of a large ensemble of statistical downscaling methods over Europe: Results from the VALUE perfect predictor cross‐validation experiment
International Journal of Climatology, 2018
10.1002/joc.5462

Hanzer, F., K. Förster, J. Nemec, and U. Strasser
Projected cryospheric and hydrological impacts of 21st century climate change in the Ötztal Alps (Austria) simulated using a physically based approach
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 1593–1614, 2018
10.5194/hess-22-1593-2018

Jury, M. W., S. Herrera, J. M. Gutiérrez, and D. Barriopedro
Blocking representation in the ERA‑Interim driven EURO‑CORDEX RCMs
Clim. Dyn., 1–16, 2018
10.1007/s00382-018-4335-8

Manning, C., M. Widmann, E. Bevacqua, A. F. Van Loon, D. Maraun, and M. Vrac
Soil Moisture Drought in Europe: A Compound Event of Precipitation and Potential Evapotranspiration on Multiple Timescales
Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2018
10.1175/JHM-D-18-0017.1

Maraun, D., and M. Widmann
Cross-validation of bias-corrected climate simulations is misleading
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 4867–4873, 2018
10.5194/hess-22-4867-2018

Maraun, D., and M. Widmann
Statistical Downscaling and Bias Correction for Climate Research
ISBN 978-1-107-58878-3, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2018

Maraun, D., M. Widmann, and J. M. Gutiérrez
Statistical downscaling skill under present climate conditions: A synthesis of the VALUE perfect predictor experiment
International Journal of Climatology, 2018
10.1002/joc.5877

Marke, T., F. Hanzer, M. Olefs, and U. Strasser
Simulation of Past Changes in the Austrian Snow Cover 1948–2009
J. Hydrometeor., 19, 1529–1545, 2018
10.1175/JHM-D-17-0245.1

Reszler, C., M. B. Switanek, and H. Truhetz
Convection-permitting regional climate simulations for representing floods in small- and medium-sized catchments in the Eastern Alps
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2653–2674, 2018
10.5194/nhess-18-2653-2018

Shepherd, T. G., E. Boyd, R. A. Calel, S. C. Chapman, S. Dessai, I. M. Dima-West, ... D. A. Zenghelis
Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change
Climatic Change, 151, 555–571, 2018
10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9

Soares, P. M. M., D. Maraun, S. Brands, M. W. Jury, J. M. Gutiérrez, D. San-Martín, ... A. Obermann-Hellhund
Process-based evaluation of the VALUE perfect predictor experiment of statistical downscaling methods
International Journal of Climatology, 0, 2018
10.1002/joc.5911

Unterberger, C., L. Brunner, S. Nabernegg, K. W. Steininger, A. K. Steiner, E. Stabentheiner, S. Monschein, and H. Truhetz
Spring frost risk for regional apple production under a warmer climate
PLOS ONE, 13, e0200201, 2018
10.1371/journal.pone.0200201

Selected further publications and reports of the Center

Bevacqua, E.
Multivariate statistical modelling and analysis of compound events
PhD thesis, University of Graz, Graz, Austria, 2018

Hanzer, F., Carmagnola, C. M., Ebner, P. P., Bavay, M., Lafaysse, M., Lehning, M., … Morin, S.
Simulating snow conditions in ski resorts with the physically based snowpack models AMUNDSEN, Crocus, and SNOWPACK/Alpine3D.
ISSW 2018 Innsbruck Proceedings, 517–524. Innsbruck, Austria, 2018

Kulmer, V., Kernitzkyi, M., Jury, M. W., & Kortschak, D.
How climate change shapes international trade flows of embodied resources.
Presented at the Conference of Economic Modelling, Venice, Italy, 2018, July 5