HighEnd:Extremes
| Project name: | The Future of Extreme Precipitation Events in the Alpine Region under High End Climate Change Conditions (HighEnd:Extremes) |
| Project leader: | Heimo Truhetz |
| Project team: | Heimo Truhetz (Post-Doc) Marie Piazza (Post-Doc) |
| Partners: | Climate Service Centre Germany (GERICS), Hamburg |
Sponsor: | This project is sponsored by the Austrian Climate and Energy Funds in the frame of the "ACRP 6th Call" programme. |
| Duration: | Apr. 2014 - Mar. 2018 |
Abstract:
In the light of continuously increasing greenhouse gas emissions, potentially increasing extreme precipitation, and rarely available high end scenarios for the Alpine region, the project HighEnd:Extremes tries to find answers to questions, like “What happens, if the ‘2°C target’ is missed?” and “How will extreme precipitation events look like in the Alpine region under a more severe warming?”.
The project aims at investigating climate change effects up to the end of the 21st century on extreme precipitation events in the Alpine region under strong global warming conditions. By means of a small ensemble of regional climate models (COSMO-CLM, WRF, REMO-nh) extreme precipitation events are simulated on convection permitting/resolving scales. Changes due to the emission scenario RCP8.5 are analysed in a probabilistic way. The international project team applies process and object oriented analyses techniques and derives climate change effects on user relevant climate indices.
In the progress of the project, new regional climate simulations for Europe with horizontal grid spacing of 50 km and 12.5 km and the Alpine region with 3 km grid spacing are derived. The simulations will be added to existing data pools (Earth System Grid Federation, Klimadatenzentrum of the Climate Change Center Austria) and presented to the general public.
