STEP
| Project name: | STEP- Supporting technological and market success for low-carbon vehicle propulsion |
| Project leader: | Karl Steininger (Wegener Zentrum) |
| Project team: | Sebastian Seebauer (Postdoc: Technology acceptance of electric vehicles), Angelika Kufleitner (PhD Student: Technology acceptance of electric vehicles), Veronika Kulmer (PhD Student: Economic model of technological change) |
| Partners: | Institute for Internal Combustion Engines and Thermodynamics (Graz University of Technology) |
Sponsor: | Austrian Climate and Energy Funds, ACRP3rd Call |
Abstract:
STEP analyzes the potential of alternative propulsion technologies in the Austrian vehicle market for the time horizon 2020-2050. Aiming for a broad market penetration of various innovative technologies and thereby substantial greenhouse gas reduction in the transport sector, both endogenous changes and promotion through policy instruments are investigated. STEP integrates an economic model of technological change, a model of the vehicle stock turnover and a psychological model of technology acceptance. The economic dynamic CGE model illustrates policy impacts on technological progress, market uptake, macroeconomic and distributional effects. The growth model of the vehicle stock simulates the gradual penetration of the entire vehicle fleet with new technologies and subsequent impacts on CO2e emissions. The psychological model complements the analyses by investigating motives for the adoption of new technologies and effects on individual carbon consumption by means of a survey among recent buyers of electric vehicles. The dynamic modeling framework illustrates feedback effects between sectors and technologies, discontinuous growth, resource constraints as well as rebound effects. The project is innovative in its interdisciplinary methodology and will evaluate policy instruments that are applicable in different development stages of alternative propulsion technologies.
