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EASICLIM

Project name:EASICLIM - Eastern Alpine Slope Instabilities under Climate Change
Project leader:Douglas Maraun
Project team:Philipp Babcicky(PhD student)
Partners:Joanneum Research (Styria); AIT (Vienna); University of Jena (Germany)
Sponsor:This project is sponsored by the Austrian Climate and Energy Funds in the frame of the "ACRP"-program. (ACRP 9th call)
Duration:Apr. 2017 - Mar. 2019

 

Abstract:

Landslides are a major natural hazard in Austria. An extreme event with 3000 landslides caused by persistent heavy rain happened 2009 in the Styrian basin. A similar but less severe event happened
in 2014. We will study (1) how climate change might have influenced the triggering meteorological events and the landslide events themselves; (2) how these events might manifest in a warmer future climate, (3) how active land-cover management might reduce the associated landslide risk, and (4) which factors determine private landslide preparedness of the population at risk.

To this end we will address the following tasks:

  • assess the impact of past and future climate change on the meteorological events based on high resolution regional climate model simulations and an assessment of changes in the storm track;
  • develop a statistical model linking meteorological variables to slope failure, based on the abundant data recorded during these events;
  • assess the impact of past and future climate change and land-use changes on the landslide-risk;
  • assess risk perceptions and adaptation intentions of the population at risk of landslides;

 

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