EASICLIM
Project name: | EASICLIM - Eastern Alpine Slope Instabilities under Climate Change |
Project leader: | Douglas Maraun |
Project team: | Philipp Babcicky(PhD student) |
Partners: | Joanneum Research (Styria); AIT (Vienna); University of Jena (Germany) |
Sponsor: | This project is sponsored by the Austrian Climate and Energy Funds in the frame of the "ACRP"-program. (ACRP 9th call) |
Duration: | Apr. 2017 - Mar. 2019 |
Abstract:
Landslides are a major natural hazard in Austria. An extreme event with 3000 landslides caused by persistent heavy rain happened 2009 in the Styrian basin. A similar but less severe event happened
in 2014. We will study (1) how climate change might have influenced the triggering meteorological events and the landslide events themselves; (2) how these events might manifest in a warmer future climate, (3) how active land-cover management might reduce the associated landslide risk, and (4) which factors determine private landslide preparedness of the population at risk.
To this end we will address the following tasks:
- assess the impact of past and future climate change on the meteorological events based on high resolution regional climate model simulations and an assessment of changes in the storm track;
- develop a statistical model linking meteorological variables to slope failure, based on the abundant data recorded during these events;
- assess the impact of past and future climate change and land-use changes on the landslide-risk;
- assess risk perceptions and adaptation intentions of the population at risk of landslides;